The Security of the Caspian Sea RegionGennadij I. Čufrin, Leader of the Sipri Project on the Security of the Caspian Sea Region and Associate Member Gennady Chufrin, Gennadiĭ Illarionovich Chufrin, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute Oxford University Press, 2001 - 375 pages This book is the result of a two-year SIPRI research project. The authors come from 12 countries, including all the Caspian littoral states, and have a unique knowledge of regional affairs. They present authoritative basic data on the true energy resources in the Caspian Sea region, on existing and proposed energy pipelines, on the spread of radical Islam, and on arms acquisitions and military spending by regional governments. They then look at the national political and security interests in the region of the littoral and the main extra-regional countries and of the role of energy resources in the security situation in the Caspian region. Finally, they examine the changing conflict dynamics in the region and the prospects for international interaction there in the 21st century. |
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Contents
Introduction | 1 |
The new geopolitical situation in the Caspian region | 11 |
Energy reserves pipeline routes and the legal regime in the | 33 |
threats to its biological resources and | 69 |
Major trends in military expenditure and arms acquisitions by the | 83 |
Russias national security interests in the Caspian region | 119 |
can the wishlist be realized? | 136 |
Turkeys objectives in the Caspian region | 151 |
its impact on security in the | 257 |
The positions of the contending parties | 259 |
The positions of the regional countries | 264 |
The stand of the Western countries | 271 |
Attempts at mediation | 273 |
The danger of armed conflict | 275 |
Scenarios for conflict resolution | 277 |
Conclusions | 279 |
The evolving security role of Iran in the Caspian region | 166 |
Azerbaijans strategic choice in the Caspian region | 178 |
The choice of independent Georgia | 195 |
Kazakhstans security policy in the Caspian Sea region | 212 |
1 Immigration to and emigration from Kazakhstan | 223 |
Turkmenistans quest for economic security | 231 |
The major competitors and partners of Turkmenistan | 234 |
The transCaspian gas pipeline | 236 |
Existing pipelines | 238 |
The legal status of the Caspian Sea | 241 |
Conclusions | 242 |
Turkmenistan and Central Asian regional security | 244 |
The neutrality concept | 245 |
The Taliban connection | 246 |
The reality of Turkmenistanss neutrality | 252 |
The changing conflict dynamics in the Caspian Sea region | 255 |
The GeorgianAbkhazian Conflict | 281 |
The postwar situation | 286 |
The position of Russia | 290 |
The position of the West | 292 |
Conclusions | 294 |
The glitter and poverty of Chechen Islam | 295 |
The influence of Islam on events in Chechnya | 296 |
The aims of the Chechen leaders in appealing to Islam | 298 |
The failure of the Salafite project | 304 |
External influences | 308 |
Radical Islam as a threat to the security of the Central Asian | 311 |
towards an unstable future | 325 |
Appendix Chronology of defence and securityrelated declarations | 345 |
About the authors | 358 |
Common terms and phrases
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