The Security of the Caspian Sea Region

Front Cover
Gennadiĭ Illarionovich Chufrin, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute
Oxford University Press, 2001 - 375 pages
Over the past decade the Caspian Sea region has risen from relative obscurity to considerable prominence in global affairs. Located at the crossroads of traditional trade routes between Europe and Asia and possessing vast natural resources, oil and natural gas among them, it attracts widespread international interest. The emergence of new sovereign states in the region has fundamentally transformed its political landscape. The future of the Caspian region is far from certain, however, as it is challenged by a wide variety of political, socio-economic and military threats which include the declining living standards of vast segments of local populations, inter-ethnic and inter-confessional tensions and conflicts, militant separatism, international terrorism, and illegal trade in arms and drugs. The security of the region is also affected by the intensifying strategic competition among major outside powers over establishing their political and economic influence in regional affairs. The book offers a competent analysis of the major political, economic and security developments in the region by a diverse group of highly qualified experts from the Caspian littoral states, the USA and the European Union.
 

Contents

Introduction
1
The new geopolitical situation in the Caspian region
11
Energy reserves pipeline routes and the legal regime in
33
1 Caspian oil and gas pipelines existing under construction
46
1
72
Major trends in military expenditure and arms acquisitions by the
83
Russias national security interests in the Caspian region
119
can the wishlist be realized?
136
The changing conflict dynamics in the Caspian Sea region
255
its impact on security in the
257
The positions of the contending parties
259
The positions of the regional countries
264
The stand of the Western countries
271
Attempts at mediation
273
The danger of armed conflict
275
Scenarios for conflict resolution
277

Turkeys objectives in the Caspian region
151
The evolving security role of Iran in the Caspian region
166
Azerbaijans strategic choice in the Caspian region
178
The choice of independent Georgia
195
Kazakhstans security policy in the Caspian Sea region
212
1 Immigration to and emigration from Kazakhstan
223
Turkmenistans quest for economic security
231
The major competitors and partners of Turkmenistan
234
The transCaspian gas pipeline
236
Existing pipelines
238
The legal status of the Caspian Sea
241
Conclusions
242
Turkmenistan and Central Asian regional security
244
The neutrality concept
245
The Taliban connection
246
The reality of Turkmenistanss neutrality
252
Conclusions
279
The GeorgianAbkhazian Conflict
281
The postwar situation
286
The position of Russia
290
The position of the West
292
Conclusions
294
The glitter and poverty of Chechen Islam
295
The influence of Islam on events in Chechnya
296
The aims of the Chechen leaders in appealing to Islam
298
The failure of the Salafite project
304
External influences
308
Radical Islam as a threat to the security of the Central Asian
311
towards an unstable future
325
Appendix Chronology of defence and securityrelated declarations
345
About the authors
358
Copyright

Common terms and phrases

Bibliographic information